NgoDisemba 5, ikusasa lamafutha omhlaba jikelele lawela kakhulu. Intengo yokuxazululwa yesivumelwano esikhulu se-US WTI Crude Amafutha Ikusasa kwakungama-76.93 amadola ase-US / umgqomo, phansi ama-dollar angama-3.05 aseMelika noma ama-3.8%. Intengo yokuxazululwa yenkontileka enkulu ye-Brent Crude Amafutha Okukusasa kwakungama-82.68 amadola / umgqomo, phansi amadola angama-2.89 noma ama-3.4%.
Ukwehla okubukhali ngamanani kawoyela kuphazanyiswa yi-macro engemihle
Ukukhula okungalindelekile kwe-Inteving Index ye-US ism ngoNovemba, okhishwe ngoMsombuluko, kukhombisa ukuthi umnotho wasekhaya usasebenza. I-boom eqhubekayo yezomnotho idale ukukhathazeka kwemakethe ngenguquko ye-Federal Reserve kusuka ku- "Joove" kuya "Ukhozi" kuya "Ukhozi", olungadumaza isifiso sangaphambilini se-Federal Reserve sokunciphisa amabanga aphansi wenzalo. Imakethe ihlinzeka isisekelo se-Federal Reservation ukunqanda inflation futhi ilondoloze indlela yokuqinisa imali. Lokhu kwabangela ukwehla okujwayelekile kwezimpahla eziyingozi. Izinkomba ezintathu ezinkulu zesitoko zase-US zonke ezivalekile kakhulu, kanti i-DOW iwe cishe ngamaphuzu angama-500. Uwoyela we-crude wamazwe omhlaba wawela ngaphezulu kwama-3%.
Ngabe intengo kawoyela izohamba kuphi ngokuzayo?
I-OPEC ibambe iqhaza elihle ekuqiniseni uhlangothi lokuhlinzekwa
NgoDisemba 4, inhlangano yamazwe athumela ama-petroleum athunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kanye nama-Allies awo (Opec +) abamba umhlangano weNdlulise oneminyaka engu-34 online. Umhlangano uthathe isinqumo sokugcina ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa kwelitshe ebekwe emhlanganweni othembekile wokugcina (Okthoba 5), okungukuthi, ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngemigqomo eyizigidi ezimbili ngosuku. Isilinganiso sokuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa silingana no-2% wesidingo samafutha ajwayelekile emhlabeni jikelele. Lesi sinqumo sihambisana nokulindelwe kwemakethe futhi sizinze nemakethe eyisisekelo yemakethe kawoyela. Ngoba ukulindela kwemakethe kubuthakathaka, uma inqubomgomo ye-OPEC + ikhululiwe, imakethe kawoyela kungenzeka iwe.
Umthelela wokuvinjelwa koyela we-EU eRussia udinga ukubonwa okwengeziwe
NgoDisemba 5, ukucekelwa phansi kwe-EU kumafutha e-Russian olwandle athunyelwa ngaphandle kolwandle, futhi umkhawulo ophezulu we- "Price Limit Order" wahlelwa ngo- $ 60. Ngasikhathi sinye, iPhini likaNdunankulu laseRussia lathi ngeke likhiphe imikhiqizo kaphethiloli emazweni abeka imingcele yentengo eRussia, futhi iveze ukuthi iRussia ithuthukisa ubungozi bokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa.
Ukusuka ekuphenduleni kwemakethe, lesi sinqumo singaletha izindaba ezimbi zesikhashana, ezidinga ukubonwa okwengeziwe esikhathini eside. Eqinisweni, intengo yokuhweba yamanje yamafutha eRasia Ural Crude uwoyela isondele kuleli zinga, futhi namanye amachweba aphansi kunaleli zinga. Kusuka kulokhu kubukwa, ukulindelwa okusheshayo kwesikhashana kuguqulwe kancane futhi kufushane emakethe kawoyela. Kodwa-ke, uma ucabanga ukuthi unswinyo luhilela umshwalense, ezokuhamba kanye nezinye izinsizakalo eYurophu, ukuthekelisa eRussia kungabhekana nezingozi ezinkulu esikhathini esiphakathi nendawo eside ngenxa yokuthola umthamo wamathangi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, uma intengo kawoyela isesiteshini esiphuma esikhathini esizayo, izindlela eziphikisanayo zaseRussia zingaholela ekuqothulweni kokulindelwe kokuhlinzekwa, futhi kunobungozi uwoyela ongahluziwe uzovuka kude.
Ukufingqa, imakethe yamafutha yamazwe omhlaba isesimweni sokuhlinzekwa kanye nokufuna umdlalo. Kungashiwo ukuthi kukhona "ukumelana ngaphezulu kwe-" no "ukwesekwa phansi". Ikakhulu, uhlangothi lokuhlinzekwa luphazanyiswa yinqubomgomo ye-OPEC + yokulungiswa kwanoma yisiphi isikhathi, kanye nokusabela kwe-chain okubangelwa ukuhanjiswa kwamafutha okuthumela ngaphandle kwamafutha okumelene neRussia, kanye nengozi yokuhlinzekwa kanye nokuhlukahluka kuyanda. Isidingo sisagxilwe ekulindelweni kokuwohloka komnotho, okuyisici esikhulu ukucindezela amanani kawoyela. I-ejensi yebhizinisi ikholelwa ukuthi izohlala iguquguqukayo esikhathini esifushane.
Isikhathi Sokuthumela: Dec-06-2022