NgoDisemba 5, ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe wamazwe ngamazwe lehla kakhulu.Intengo yokukhokha yenkontileka eyinhloko yekusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe wase-US WTI yayingu-76.93 US dollar/umphongolo, yehle ngo-3.05 US dollar noma 3.8%.Intengo yokukhokha yenkontileka eyinhloko yekusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe we-Brent yayingamadola angu-82.68/umphongolo, yehle ngamadola angu-2.89 noma ngo-3.4%.
Ukwehla okukhulu kwamanani kawoyela kuphazanyiswa kakhulu yi-macro negative
Ukukhula okungalindelekile kwe-US ISM non manufacturer index ngoNovemba, ekhishwe ngoMsombuluko, kukhombisa ukuthi umnotho wasekhaya usaqinile.Ukusimama komnotho okuqhubekayo kubangele ukukhathazeka kwezimakethe mayelana noshintsho lwe-Federal Reserve lusuka “ejubeni” luye “kokhozini”, okungase kudumaze isifiso sangaphambilini se-Federal Reserve sokwehlisa isivinini sokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo.Imakethe inikeza isisekelo se-Federal Reserve ukunqanda ukwehla kwamandla emali futhi igcine indlela yokuqinisa imali.Lokhu kubangele ukwehla okuvamile kwezimpahla eziyingozi.Izinkomba ezintathu ezinkulu zesitoko saseMelika zonke zivaliwe kakhulu, kanti iDow yehla cishe amaphuzu angama-500.Uwoyela ongahluziwe wamazwe ngamazwe wehle ngaphezu kuka-3%.
Intengo kawoyela izoshonaphi esikhathini esizayo?
I-OPEC idlale indima enhle ekusimamiseni uhlangothi lokuhlinzeka
Ngomhla zizi-4 kuZibandlela, Inhlangano Yamazwe Athumela Uphethiloli kanye namadlelandawonye ayo (OPEC+) yabamba umhlangano wongqongqoshe wama-34 ku-inthanethi.Umhlangano wanquma ukugcina umgomo wokunciphisa umkhiqizo owawubekwe emhlanganweni wokugcina wongqongqoshe (ngomhla zi-5 kuMfumfu), okungukuthi, ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngemiphongolo eyizigidi ezi-2 ngosuku.Isilinganiso sokunciphisa umkhiqizo silingana no-2% wesidingo sikawoyela sansuku zonke esimaphakathi.Lesi sinqumo sihambisana nokulindelwe yimakethe futhi siphinde sizinze imakethe eyisisekelo yemakethe kawoyela.Ngoba ukulindela kwemakethe kubuthakathaka, uma inqubomgomo ye-OPEC+ ixega, imakethe kawoyela cishe izowa.
Umthelela wokuvinjelwa kukawoyela kwe-EU eRussia udinga ukubhekwa okwengeziwe
Ngomhla zi-5 kuZibandlela, unswinyo lwe-EU ekuthengisweni kukawoyela olwandle lwaseRussia lwaqala ukusebenza, futhi umkhawulo ongaphezulu “wohlelo lomkhawulo wentengo” wawubekwe ku-$60.Khona manjalo, iPhini likaNdunankulu waseRussia uNovak uthe iRussia ngeke ithumele uwoyela nemikhiqizo kaphethiloli emazweni abeka imingcele yamanani eRussia, wadalula ukuthi iRussia ithuthukisa izindlela zokulwa, okusho ukuthi iRussia ingase ibe sengozini yokunciphisa umkhiqizo.
Kusukela ekuphenduleni kwemakethe, lesi sinqumo singase silethe izindaba ezimbi zesikhashana, ezidinga ukubhekwa kabanzi esikhathini eside.Eqinisweni, intengo yamanje yokuhweba kawoyela ongahluziwe waseRussia wase-Ural iseduze naleli zinga, futhi ngisho namanye amachweba aphansi kunaleli zinga.Kuleli phuzu lokubuka, ukulindela ukuhlinzekwa kwesikhashana kunoshintsho oluncane futhi kushoda emakethe kawoyela.Kodwa-ke, uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi unswinyo lubandakanya umshwalense, ezokuthutha kanye nezinye izinsizakalo eYurophu, ukuthunyelwa kweRussia kwamanye amazwe kungase kubhekane nezingozi ezinkulu esikhathini esimaphakathi nesikhathi eside ngenxa yokushoda komthamo wamathangi.Ngaphezu kwalokho, uma intengo kawoyela isesiteshini esikhulayo esikhathini esizayo, izinyathelo zokuphikisa zaseRussia zingase ziholele ekuncipheni kokulindela ukunikezwa, futhi kunengozi yokuthi uwoyela ongahluziwe uzokhuphuka kude.
Ukufingqa, imakethe kawoyela yamanje yamazwe ngamazwe isesenqubweni yokuhlinzeka kanye nomdlalo wokufunwa.Kungashiwo ukuthi kukhona "ukumelana phezulu" kanye "nokusekela phansi".Ikakhulukazi, uhlangothi lokuhlinzekwa luphazanyiswa yinqubomgomo ye-OPEC+ yokulungiswa nganoma yisiphi isikhathi, kanye nokusabela kochungechunge okubangelwa unswinyo lokuthumela uwoyela wase-Europe naseMelika ngokumelene neRussia, futhi ubungozi bokunikezwa nokuguquguquka kuyanda.Isidingo sisagxile ekulindeleni ukuwohloka komnotho, okuseyimbangela enkulu yokwehlisa amanani kawoyela.I-ejensi yezamabhizinisi ikholelwa ukuthi izohlala iguquguquka esikhathini esifushane.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-06-2022